Some 04 0z model runs on 90L .. As a group they generally favor the NNW path scraping by or over Nicaragua > Honduras > Yucatan, en route to the southern U.S.

0z GFS NNW track interacts with Nicaragua > Honduras > Yucatan and remains weak, with even two competing vorts for a while, until in the Gulf .. Landfall over central Louisiana as a low-end Tropical Storm

0z HWRF Landf interaction, but less impact ... possibly an assist from all the very warm waters in the NW Caribbean this year. Landfall over the weekend in SE Louisiana as a formidable Cat 1/2

0z HMON - Takes a more northerly track with less land interaction en route to U.S. Becomes a formidable Cat 4/5.. on approach to a likely landfall between Destin, Fl and Mexico Beach, Fl.. while still a Major (end of run 910mb Major, just offsore)

0z GEM - Similar to HMON with less land interaction and a landfall a little further east (but not so far east as to make landfall on the Florida panhandle like HMON does) as a 989mb 45 knot tropical cyclone thingy .. a bit of a stretch to envision 45 knots and 989 hPa. Almost want to toss this one out.