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The cone size doesn't change it's always based on the same error range, however this storm will be moving very quickly up there, it's in the 3 day range, so it appears more narrow than a slower moving storm may. Models have concentrated int he cone area, so I believe the NHC's track is good. There's a disturbingly high chance for rapid intensification, but the storm will be moving into the northern Gulf quickly on Saturday. I hope folks prepare for a cat 3 and hope for less up there. |