Nate's lopsided and slightly still-incoherent structure has been making it challenging for the cyclone to continue to strengthen in the presence of increasing shear, dry air, and slowly cooling SSTs, and it is now looking less possible that Nate comes ashore as a Major. However, this is not the time to conclude all is well. Nate is a ferocious Category One Hurricane, with a very strong and long fetch of southerly winds blowing in, with attendant significant storm surge, and damaging gusts. Also, the usual risk for tornadoes exists, and SPC has 5% TORN probabilities up.