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Above: Invest 91L ASCAT 06-02-22-1541z Recon is presently rounding the northern tip of the Yucatan, checking out the low level circulation center of the broad circulation, which is inland over northern Yucatan. That is the surface trof from days ago, that looked a bit formidable even as Agatha was starting to push inland over southern Mexico, and that is now interacting with what is left of Agatha's old mid-level spin. However, the newer surface spin that began developing underneath the deeper convection to the east of the trof hugging the Yucatan several of us were noting yesterday afternoon (see above), still appeared intact as of just a few hours ago, as can be gleaned from the ASCAT pass from 1541z. So, 91L remains a bit of a jumbled mix. Fortunately, we can now look forward to recon data shedding more light on which 'center' is more dominant, more likely to become dominant, or even perhaps neither. |