The broad center NHC has been focusing was not able to finish merging with the deep convection to its east. The secondary LLC that was associated with that deep convection has appeared to track NNE, and as per earlier GFS ensembles, indeed coalescing with the trof to its west, with a more robust and durable LLC just off the northeast tip of the Yucatan dominant and possibly now organized enough to classify.

Recon is finding some winds of tropical storm force, so PTC could go straight to Alex by the next Advisory.