Visible with surface wind plots. 8-12-22 1641z Image credit: College of DuPage

An area of concentrated low pressure forming along a trough in the northern Gulf of Mexico we have been monitoring is showing increasing signs of organization and could very well already have better odds than model guidance and indeed the official NHC 10% of becoming a TD or named storm. Given its extremely close proximity to land, despite its low official odds and lack of an Invest tag at the moment, we are now starting a Forecast Lounge on what will likely be Invest-tagged soon if trends continue.

The trof we have been tracking has just been Invest-tagged 98L and the title is updated accordingly -Ciel