0z models:

Trend here is SW Florida, but SLOW moving once landfall happens so it affects a lot of Florida. Rainfall totals are extreme.

GFS:

Clips W. Cuba as a cat 2/3 Monday night,

Landfall between Englewood and Venice, FL Wednesday morning cat 3/4. Moves very Slowly over Florida (extreme rainfall amounts). Exits Vero Beach Thursday midday. Loops back,. landfall near Hilton Head Island, on Friday night, then moves inland toward Columbia, SC.

Icon:
Moves over Cuba midday Tuesday, very clo0se or over Key West early Wednesday morning as a cat 2/3, Naples Midday Wednesday as a cat 2/3. Rides slowly up through Florida and Exits at Cape Canaveral midday friday.

CMC:
West cuba Monday night cat 2. Fort Myers, Cat 2/3 predawn Wednesday morning. Stalls over or just east of Tampa for most of Wednesday and thursday. Slides north, gets into Georgia Friday Afternoon.