The 0z euro is slower than yesterday's 12z, crosses Cuba Tuesday morning as a cat 1, then arrives in southwest Florida, near Marco Island, early Wednesday instead of Tuesday night cat 1 . It moves quickly through the state and leaves near Fort Pierce. Then cliips the outer Banks and heads to Long Island.
6Z GFS clips Western Cuba as a Cat 3/4 late Monday night. Landfall near Bradenton as a cat 3 Wednesday afternoon. Would push water up Tampa Bay. Just south of Orlando Thursday Morning, gets into the Atlantic near Palm Bay Friday morning. (Spends all day Thursday OVER central Florida) loops over the Atlantic, Heads back southwest and landfalls near Jupiter (much weaker, TD) on Oct 5 then gets back into the gulf.
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