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18z GFS doesn't seem to have a great handle on the short term with TD9, but it's still worthwhile for general overview. A lot is going to depend on when the north turn begins and where the center forms now that shear will start to relax tomorrow. The TVCN was at Bradenton earlier today and now has moved back to Englewood (then over Orlando and out over Volusia/Flagler) I'm waiting on the storm to get out of its current shear situation because I think the short term errors are larger in the models. |