morning models, note most initialized too far north based on recon reports.
6z gfs:
Clips western Cuba Tuesday morning as a cat 3.
Landfalls east of Apalachicola as a cat 1/2 (weakens with shear before landfall)

0z euro
notably correctly picked up on the SW jog this morning

Cat 1 hurricane just west of Grand Cayman Monday night
Crosses Cuba as a cat 1 just west of Havana.

Cat 2/3 landfall near Englewood late Wednesday afternoon. Moves slowly over the state and over jacksonville early friday morning then zooms inland Northwest over Georgia.

And there you have the two camps, split the difference is closer to Crystal River or Cedar Key, but weighted closer to Tampa, which is where the official track is. I expect some changes, but the general range is Napes to Apalachicola still.