There are two model camps

GFS/CMC is over toward Destin

Euro/UKMET/Icon is peninsula from Tampa (UK/Euro) to Icon, which is closer to the the big bend.

The TVCN consensus is around Apalachicola, which may be too much because of the high spread in the afternoon models in general

The position of the storm could change based on recon reports,but the 0z run tonight will be the first one with high altitude recon data which should help alleviate the spread. The center may be moving more north today based on the recon plane out their right now, but until past Jamaica its probably going to be in flux.

12z and 0z Euro go out the full distance, 6/18z do not, which would explain the plot only to Cuba.

Basically the entire cone is valid for the storm. Do not take any one model as gospel.