GeorgeN
(Weather Watcher)
Sat Sep 24 2022 03:56 PM
Re: Ian Lounge

Quote:

Recon, something we did not have much benefit of the past 48 hours as flights were focusing on Fiona, has spent a great deal of time in Ian today, and the data is significant.

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Agreed. Recon will be a big factor in nailing down a better starting position for the Euro models. So far, this type of storm has been problematic for the Euro model as it really requires a good starting point/storm center. This has always been the Euro's Achilles's heel. Not to say I'm a big GFS fan, but it has been reacting to the Westerly drift and disorganized center with less erratic plot changes.
I see the ECMF plot has finally popped up on the SWFMD tracks. Now showing landfall North of Tampa in the Cedar Key region.


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