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18z Icon shifts right from to a Cat 3 landfall just south of Venice, FL last model run had it at Cedar key at 12z. 18z GFS starts off too far south based on recon, but still manages to stay east of the 12z, but landfalls only about 35-40 miles east of the 12z position in the panhandle. It rapidly weakens from shear as it approaches the panhandle. |