Ian is about to come off the coast of Cuba. Now that we can see the eye on both satellite and Key West radar tracking small changes / wobbles will become easier. The models (and NHC) have shifted the track a bit more E and a direct hit into Tampa Bay or slightly south as a Cat 3 is becoming more and more likely. Weds AM TS force winds will arrive in the area leaving 24 hours to prepare. Thurs to Fri as Ian moves inland it doesn't go very far so this is going to be a prolonged event. Recon flights will provide the details on the wind field. The only good news is the follow-the-coast track may not materialize if Ian stays on track, instead we'll see a slow bend / curve off the Cuban coast and into W FL.