(Weather Analyst)
Tue Sep 27 2022 09:41 AM
Re: Ian Lounge


The only good news is the follow-the-coast track may not materialize if Ian stays on track, instead we'll see a slow bend / curve off the Cuban coast and into W FL.

Good news for Florida west coast Tampa Bay northward. Bad news for west coast near and south of landfall.

Potentially, bad news for Daytona/Flagler Beach, St. Augustine and Jacksonville. This morning's model guidance suggests Ian's center will cross peninsula with eye even re-emerging fully over the very warm near shore Atlantic north of the Cape, maintaining strong tropical storm force (even regaining Cat 1?) over coastal waters up to the Golden Isles of Georgia.

Based on this possibility, I'm anticipating a slower, wetter and weaker version of Charley for inland central/east central Florida.

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