| Psyber |
| (Storm Tracker) |
| Tue Sep 27 2022 05:50 PM |
|
Re: Ian Lounge
|
Quote:
The 5PM package has reflected the more eastward track and has accelerated the overall forward speed and intensity at landfall probably between Englewood and Punta Gorda as a Cat 4 storm. Tampa Bay remains in the northern part of the cone, though. It’s too early to breathe a sigh of relief.
Not good because the jet stream's incoming dry air favours Ian to stay offshore as long as possible so to seriously hit it with its dry air.
I can't help thinking that this is like a drag race. A wobble or two east, and tit hits southern Florida as a potentially strong H4. Staying West, it'll have more time to get hit by the incoming change to the jet stream, but it'll still hit somewhere like Tampa Bay pretty hard and with storm surge to some pretty vulnerable shoreline.
Radar shows what looks like an eyewall replacement.
