WOW that is crazy.

Anyway...

Not much moisture content in the SE quad, just one or two feeder bands, the system is struggling to wrap its available energy into the core. As the eyewall comes back from this ragged condition it looks larger indicating an expanding wind field but with higher pressure. I am starting to sound like a broken record but Ian continues to favor the E side of the forecast cone.

All models are coming into agreement on a landfall around Port Charlotte, with UK going even further S down to Bonita Springs. Also the intensity forecast is showing we have reached peak strength with a weakening trend towards landfall (hopefully sooner rather then later). Ian is getting squeezed between the front to the north and a high building in from the east which is keeping him in check and driving future NE motion.

The 11PM update should be interesting.