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This thing will come ashore in the Captiva/Cape Coral area. It didn’t listen to the models at all the past week.

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Check Advisory #2 (shown below) released last Friday - Cat 3 on top of Cape Coral at 8AM today. Cape Coral was never outside the cone, granted it was the SE edge of guidance, and of course everyone focused on Tampa, but as mentioned above the UK had this track figured out.