| IsoFlame |
| (Weather Analyst) |
| Wed Sep 28 2022 08:51 PM |
|
Re: Ian Lounge
|
Quote:
Landfall 3:05 PM Cayo Costa winds 150 mph pressure 940 mb
Based on videos and other data there is some really bad surge south of center - the water level in Naples is 7 feet above high tide and that is open beach not a cove or bay where water can truly pile up.
Port Charlotte and Punta Gorda on north side of Charlotte Bay is a fairly populated area with a network of many finger canals off the bay. Given Ian's slow plod across Cayo Costa, with eye tracking up the bay, surge will probably arrive shortly.
We have friends that live on one of these relatively wind-sheltered canals. Charlie landfall put water over their dock/sea wall but didn't get in the house. Ian's slow motion is a more flooding/wetter Charlie. High tide this afternoon around 4 pm will coincide with the arrival of Ian;s west side and pile water up in the residential canals worse than Charlie.