A well formed, convectively active tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windwards is moving westward at around 15-20 mph and expected to reach the islands and eastern Caribbean around the middle of the new week. This disturbance not only is showing tentative signs of developing in the near term (next 1-2 days), but a few model runs are warm to very warm on its prospects of becoming a storm even prior to reaching the Lesser Antilles, with others of it at least becoming a TD this week while land-trapped in the Caribbean, and so we are starting a Lounge on the wave and Invest, 91L, at this time.

On the morning of Oct 7th THIRTEEN became Julia, and the title has been updated accordingly. -Ciel