Tue Oct 11 2022 05:27 AM
Karl Lounge

Image cr.

An area of low pressure largely associated with the remnants of former Hurricane Julia in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing a sizeable area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, which have been on the increase. This feature is likely to be Invest tagged today, and recon is tentatively scheduled to check it out later this afternoon, if necessary.

Models suggest that there is some possibility for this area of low pressure to not only become a TD or named storm within the next 12-72 hours, but also stick around for a while. Even though current forecasts tend to send the feature back into Mexico, given the likelihood of it having a chance to meander over and/or back and forth over water, steering currents may have a chance to change and open a window for a track further north at some point.

Very heavy rains and flooding are likely to continue in eastern Mexico in the near-term, regardless of development and ultimate tracks.

All things considered, we are starting a Lounge on Invest TBD at this time.

This system has been tagged 93L and the title has been updated accordingly. - Ciel

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