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Dry air surrounds Nicole in the lower and mid levels. Unless the atmosphere moistens up by mid-week, this could restrict convective consolidation and inhibit the transition to purely tropical over favorable 80+ SST's, keeping the system from becoming a hurricane prior to landfall.
Agreed, it needs a lot of help to develop a tropical core. Today it moved faster then predicted and is forecast to accelerate a bit more so it might out run the main moisture bubble.
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I wasn’t aware your St. James City home was flooded. I thought just minor damage. Being flooded meant a high storm surge as yours is on piers.
We think it had maybe 12†of surge… mold took over so we didn’t go inside to verify. It was “minor†but not worth trying to salvage.
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