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Massive burst of convection now.
Appears to have woken up after a night of stumbling and drifting south. Shear is keeping her in check but is slowly over coming the dry area to form a pocket of moisture around the core. Intensity models keep her at minimal Cat 1 status until landfall around Hobe Sound late tonight. Tracking will get easier with the visible satellite today and Nicole is coming into radar range plus Bahamas weather stations. The only strong winds are the NW quad. Overall large TS wind field with a small core, but once again it’s all to the N of center.
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Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge