JMII
(Weather Master)
Thu Nov 10 2022 08:45 AM
Re: Nicole Forecast Lounge

This was no hurricane, the NOAA data doesn't support it. From the NHC official updates:

7PM - Freeport, Grand Bahama = gust to 61 mph
10PM - Juno Beach Pier = gust of 55 mph, Settlement Point, Grand Bahama = gust of 55 mph
1AM - buoy 25 miles east of Cape Canaveral = gust to 67 mph

Other confirmed NWS reports, click the 71 mph wind link on this page for the official Twitter feed:
https://www.axios.com/2022/11/10/hurricane-nicole-florida

Peak gusts (NOT sustained)
73 mph at Playalinda Beach
70 mph at Melbourne
70 mph at Indialantic
67 mph at Patrick Air Force Base
60 mph at New Smyrna Beach
66 mph at Sebastian Inlet and
58 mph at Vero Beach.

These all occurred during the "hurricane" and none of them met the criteria. #science

I have no idea why the NHC continues to have this disconnect from estimated winds aloft and true ground speed winds, you know the kind the public actually feels the effects of. Despite whatever damage might have occurred nobody in FL or the Bahamas experienced a Cat 1 with Nicole, because in reality it was a strong TS.


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