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An impressive pre-season area of low pressure in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico has formed and has now been Invest tagged, 91L. Even though the chance for significant development is modest, given the location close to land and certain impacts regardless of development, we are starting a Lounge on this hybrid system. Conditions for development into a bona fide tropical cyclone are fair this week, but are expected to become less conducive by the weekend. Whether or not 91L gets a name, moderate to heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over portions of the peninsula through the weekend. NHC determined that Invest 91L has sufficiently organized to be classified as a Tropical Cyclone and advisoires on TD TWO began at 4PM CDT June 1, 2023, and the title has been updated accordingly. (Arlene as of 1PM CT June 2) Ciel |