cieldumort
(Moderator)
Fri Jun 02 2023 02:30 PM
Re: TD Two Lounge

The cyclone keeps finding itself occasional sweet spots within an otherwise less-than-ideal shear environment. In addition, it remains less deep than we often see in the tropics, unsurprising given its hybrid origins, and the worst of the shearing impacts higher up in the atmosphere are not always impacting it.

This morning recon is finding several areas, primarily in the northeast quadrant, with winds worthy of a named storm.

Track-wise, there are hints in some models of the system hanging on despite increasingly hostile shear over the weekend, and looping back to the northeast after a forecast track towards Cuba. Resilient systems can sometimes be cat-like, with multiple lives.



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