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Today's GFS runs have consensus on a fairly potent spin up in NW Caribbean around the June 19/20th followed by a slow track varying between NNW into the southern GOMEX in the general direction of LA/MS or NNE across western Cuba into the eastern GOMEX a few hundred miles west of Florida peninsula. Long way off, but the day to day run consistency (with no outliers) has my undivided attention given the favored June development region and well above normal SST's.. |