IsoFlame
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Jun 07 2023 10:40 AM
Re: GFS last 2 runs spin up system in NW Caribbean June 20th drifting N/NW

GFS still onboard with NW Caribbean system intensifying in the GOMEX. 06Z tracks it toward the central Texas coast as a hurricane by the 23rd. The 00Z run slower -in the central on the 23rd and stronger at 962 mb -borderline Major)

3 days of model consistency, but still over 10 days out. I'd love to see the tropical outlook extend out and discuss medium range model consistency (even though beyond a week can be a long shot)