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GFS still onboard with NW Caribbean system intensifying in the GOMEX. 06Z tracks it toward the central Texas coast as a hurricane by the 23rd. The 00Z run slower -in the central on the 23rd and stronger at 962 mb -borderline Major) 3 days of model consistency, but still over 10 days out. I'd love to see the tropical outlook extend out and discuss medium range model consistency (even though beyond a week can be a long shot) |