MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Thu Jun 15 2023 07:41 PM
Re: MDR System along coast of Africa

18z GFS again drops the west Caribbean system, but does get the MDR system (now with a 30% chance to develop) into the Bahamas as a hurricane. The Leeward islands will definitely need to watch this system over the coming week.

Beyond this the GFS shows yet another potential MDR system in the longer range.

Shear won't be too bad in that timeframe, but the largest negative factor for development will likely be dry air . Sea surface temperatures are very high right now.


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