MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sun Jun 18 2023 02:22 AM
Re: MDR System along coast of Africa

The models this evening are split between a GFS recurve, and a 12zeuro right into the Caribbean. The ensembles show this as well, following the rule stronger is more likely to recurve. However, the HWRF does get stronger and doesn't recurve. So it's a bit of a mystery here. There's still quite a bit to follow with 92L, and I can't assume it's going to recurve before the Leeward islands yet.

One interesting thing about the 0z euro is that it does take it right into DR/Hispaniola and it falls apart there. The system is looking better on the satellite.



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