MikeC
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| (Admin) |
| Sun Jun 18 2023 08:14 AM |
Re: MDR System along coast of Africa
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6 GFs recurves 92l around 52W. Euro has it moving through the leewards, just south of Antigua, on Saturday Jun 24th, but very weak.
CMC and Icon has it over ST. Lucia, weak, on Friday.
The Hurricane Models,
HWRF: Cat 2/3 just northeast of Barbados at end of run (Friday)
HMON: Cat 2/3 just northeast of Barbados at end of run (Friday)
HAFSA: Cat 2/3 just northeast of Barbados (further north than than HWRF/HON) at end of run (Friday)
HAFSB: Cat 3/4 just northeast of Barbados (closer to Barbados than the other models) at end of run (Friday)
The two newer models, HAFS A/B will replace the HWRF/HMON. A is replacing the HWRF, B is replacing the HMON. But all 4 will run this year. None of the hurricane models are all that great with inverts before an actual storm forms, but they are another thing to consider. Once you have a TS, though, they can be more useful.