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12z euro is going weaker, and more westerly in this run (followed by another system behind that). 12z GFS Recurves around 52-53 W and keeps it out to sea (much stronger). I'm leaning toward the weaker, maybe a 45knot peak with this system, which means the islands need to keep watch closely. The GFS also spins up another weak west Caribbean system that goes into Florida later this week, but don't expect that to happen. The canadian doesn't develop 92L at all. |