(Weather Analyst)
Fri Jul 21 2023 03:08 PM
Re: Atlantic Wave (Invest 95L)

Latest GFS run gives 95L a bit more attention before it enters the Caribbean where it fizzles out as it tracks due west. I don't agree with GFS run that builds a 1034mb ridge driving the system into the Caribbean- haven't seen the ridge that strong yet this season. If 95L stays consolidated and can find and stay in a favorable pocket of moisture with low shear and the Atlantic ridge doesn't strengthen enough to continue driving it west, we need to pay attention. A late July hurricane gradually re-curving WNW would not be a surprise to me given the Atlantic basin water temps.

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