| cieldumort |
| (Moderator) |
| Thu Aug 24 2023 07:06 PM |
|
Re: Gulf/WCarib Later this Week
|
Here is the ECMWF model sounding forecast for shear over the vortext on Tuesday 8/29/21z. The high shear outside of the vortex is largely due to the upper-level outflow, which is favorable for strengthening. Right over the vortex, this model forecast anticipates low deep layer shear at this time (just 13 knots).
Graphic cr. TropicalTidbits