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With respect to the timing of Lee's well advertised turn, there is timing uncertainty, but not so much so that Florida is (and was never) part of the NHC cone. Timing uncertainty currently exists more to as how much Lee may or may not impact the northeast and Canada. That said, Major Hurricanes have been known to occasionally strongly influence their own steering currents.
Recon is now flying into Lee. The recon data supplied this week will be invaluable.
Models keep Lee a Major up to the New England coast. Timing of the much advertised northerly will end up being critical for mitigating impact (other than dangerous seas and high surf) to the northeast US, and especially the Canadian Maritime provinces which have taken a beating during hurricane season in the past half decade.
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Re: Lee Lounge