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From this afternoon's discussion: A cold front will move off the northeastern Florida coast tonight, reaching from 31N72W to near Jupiter, Florida Tue morning, then stalling along 28N/29N through the end of the week. Winds may increase west of the stalled front by the end of the week as a tight pressure gradient develops due to a building high inland and a developing coastal trough off the Carolinas. No mention of yet in the discussion or 7-day outlook, but if the coastal trough pulls off the coast far enough and sits for several days, a closed low could develop then feed off the un-worked over seasonal peak SST's north of the Bahamas and east of Florida. Not sure if shear and/or dry air associated with weak high pressure over the SE US will be negatives for development, but there will be plenty of moist tropical air along and south of the stalled frontal boundary. |