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Ophelia is now a very strong tropical storm/borderline hurricane. While there have still been some nearby well-defined frontal features as well as a frontal occlusion, the cyclone is arguably more tropical than not, particularly now with very deep convection building atop the LLC and a well-established warm core; much warmer than cyclone phase modeling predicted a few days ago. There is probably enough time left for Ophelia to become a hurricane. Functionally, those within its sphere of bad weather could treat it as a wet and blustery Nor'Easter outside of the core, and a Cat 1 hurricane inside the core. Flooding and surge is a real risk. |