(Weather Analyst)

Sat Sep 23 2023 02:58 PM

Late season activity? "It ain't over 'til the obese dame sings"

I keep looking ahead for modeling to suggest a spin up in the post-peak areas in the extreme western Caribbean and GOMEX, however nothing on the radar ATM. Since Idalia, the region has been exceptionally quite while the central and western Atlantic continue to fire on all cylinders. Will a westward moving disturbance finally get into the Caribbean, or will frontal activity in October penetrate far enough south to finally provide late season seeds for tropical cyclogenesis?

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