| cieldumort |
| (Moderator) |
| Sun Oct 22 2023 03:27 AM |
|
Re: 95L Lounge
|
The Caribbean Low we have been tracking is now Invest 95L as of 1PM CDT Oct 22nd, with an initial position at 11.3N 81.4W and an intensity of 30 KTS.
Some 0z model summaries
GFS - Apparent TD or weak TS by tonight while roughly 120 miles east of southern Nicaragua with a landfall overnight Monday in northeastern Nicaragua as a modest tropical storm, then crawls northwestward while inland towards Belize, where it appears to wash out.
ICON - Seems to maintain the system as a weak low in the extreme southern-southwestern Caribbean, possibly at times crossing over to the East Pac side.
GEM - Apparent TD or weak TS by tonight while roughly 130 miles east of Reserva Biológica Indio MaÃz, Nicaragua, with a landfall Monday night as a modest tropical storm on central Nicaragua, then lingers over central America for several days as a decaying TC before merging with an East Pac system Friday.