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This morning's Beryl Super-ensemble trends update (Cr. Tomer Burg and Brian Tang) show just how much model runs have underestimated Beryl's propensity to track north of where top models expect it to, and this has only become more pronounced this afternoon with the cyclone already pulling off the north coast of the Yucatan peninsula, rather than later and farther west-southwest of its current location. Image credit: Tomer Burg CIRES/NOAA/@NWSWPC HMT facilitator | PhD in Atmospheric Science |