JMII
(Weather Master)
Sun Jul 07 2024 04:17 PM
Re: Beryl Lounge

Quote:

and brings Beryl ashore as just about Major. The other vort-centric runs (hurricane models) are mostly around high-end TS/low-end Cat 1.




I think it will be in the low to mid Cat 1 range. Its still only a TS and flight recon doesn't show any symmetry but pressure has started dropping. No solid wrap around or eye wall yet on radar. Several models had it reaching hurricane status by this time but its been lagging behind compared to its previous over performing status. It only has around 12-16 hours before landfall to get itself together, thus a run to Cat 2/3 seems highly unlikely with land interaction becoming a factor. Its currently tracking right on top of the NHC centerline.



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