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0z Euro Ensembles are a bit more active today. GFS shows the system now, but it goes into the Gulf (late developer). Timelines, if anything were to get it near Florida it would likely be around next Saturday (August 3rd). GFS and Canadian show the area now too, although GFS gets it into the Gulf near Louisiana as a TD/TS, Euro near Mobile, AL as a TS, Canadian near the Florida Pandhandle after crossing the Keys as a wave or TD. Although all the models it doesn't develop until late in the run. |