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Given the current disorganization and land interaction we don't have a defined starting point so the track guidance is (predictable) a mess. However the good news is short term there will be limited opportunities for intensification so a quick landfall in the Keys or along the SW coast of FL (south of Tampa) would be of a weak storm. Now the further no-yet-Debby gets into the gulf over the time the range of possibilities and system strength increases. Things get really jumbled as the steering currents are weak so stalling is a possibility which would create a very soggy experience for central FL. Plenty of eyes are on this given some part of FL will be impacted. Still seems Tampa north to the Big Bend area is at the greatest risk for a direct impact. |