An occasionally vigorous tropical wave in the Main Development Region is continuing to show signs of it holding together long enough and tracking poleward enough to potentially be of concern next week once in the Caribbean and per some models like the GFS, especially so if/when it enters the Gulf.

While the background state for development out in the MDR is presently less than ideal, conditions are largely forecast to be increasingly hospitable in the central to western Caribbean and gulf all (potentially) along its path, and we are starting a lounge on this feature at this time.

This system is not yet Invest tagged and we will update the title as changes are made. More details to come soon.

This feature has gone on to help spin up 98E in the eastern Pacific which has a window to develop, and a small area of weak low pressure within remnant northern portions in the Bay of Campeche as of Aug 10, but TC genesis remains unlikely there. Ciel