Showers and thunderstorms associated with this feature have become a little less organized today, but modeling suggests conditions for development could improve mid-late week in the central to western Caribbean.

An overview of some of today's 12z Global runs

ECMWF - Becomes a weak low in the southern Caribbean Wednesday Aug 8 and pushes into Central America later in the week, without development.

GFS - Becomes a weak low in the western Caribbean Thursday Aug 9 and tracks northwest, crossing into the SW GOM and becomes a TD Sunday Aug 11, continuing NW towards TX. Tropical Storm on Monday Aug 12, landfalling as a Cat 2 southwest of Galveston near Freeport, TX, Tuesday Aug 13.

GDPS - Becomes a TD/TS Wednesday Aug 8 in the south-central Caribbean, tracking west-northwest, skirts Honduras and Nicaragua and then crosses the Yucatan Saturday Aug 10, entering the Bay of Campeche. Second and final landfall along eastern Mexico Sunday Aug 11 as a weak tropical storm.

ICON - Becomes a weak low in the western Caribbean Thursday Aug 9 and pushes into Central America, seemingly not as a TC