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Hone has been tracking a hair north of forecast and intensifying a little more than forecast. Satellite and recon suggests that the cyclone may be making a run at hurricane prior to passing west of the Big Island. A track a little on the stronger side and closer to or even directly over the Big Island is supported by a few of the ensemble members. Something to keep an eye on, as a hurricane watch or even warning is not out of the realm of possibility. Above: UKMET Ensembles 8-24-24-0z GFS Ensembles 8-24-24-12z ECMWF Ensembles 8-24-24-0z Credit: Brian Tang |