cieldumort
(Moderator)
Sat Aug 24 2024 04:05 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Hone (Hawaii threat)

Hone has been tracking a hair north of forecast and intensifying a little more than forecast. Satellite and recon suggests that the cyclone may be making a run at hurricane prior to passing west of the Big Island. A track a little on the stronger side and closer to or even directly over the Big Island is supported by a few of the ensemble members. Something to keep an eye on, as a hurricane watch or even warning is not out of the realm of possibility.


Above:
UKMET Ensembles 8-24-24-0z
GFS Ensembles 8-24-24-12z
ECMWF Ensembles 8-24-24-0z
Credit: Brian Tang