cieldumort
(Moderator)
Fri Sep 06 2024 05:56 PM
Re: 90L Lounge

90L has become reattached to its parent front once again and does not appear to be tracking south nearly far enough or fast enough to outrun the approach of a secondary boundary set to interact with it, and its chances for solo development have been dropping rapidly today. However, a portion of 90L may interact with the approaching wave crossing the Yucatan this weekend and NHC assigns a 40% chance of development in the Bay of Campeche from either the wave itself or interaction with 90L and/or also the first front.

If this all sounds messy, it is. Under normal circumstances at this time of year, 90L could have easily developed by now, and to think that yet another Code Orange for what I suppose may get Invest tagged 91L is going to develop while 90L hasn't seems like a stretch given all we have seen of late.

Still, something to watch. If there is a new Invest worth tracking we will start a new Lounge on it. Models were bullish on 90L and some still are, so I wouldn't completely ignore this Low, either.

Please also see Watching for home-grown tropical cyclogenesis in early Sept



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