Above: Central Atlantic Tropical Low Invest TBD

An area of formerly very elongated low pressure in the Main Development Region of the Atlantic well east of the Antilles has continued to consolidate and as of this afternoon has begun to take on a much more upright cylindrical look, classic of the very early stages of development into a tropical cyclone. This feature has increasing model support to potentially become the first serious TC born out of the MDR since record-setting Beryl back in June, and we are starting a Lounge on it at this time.

While this Low is not yet Invest-tagged it could easily be tagged later today or tomorrow, and the title will be updated accordingly. NHC development odds within 7 days are presently 40% and this could be conservative.

More details to come

This tropical low has been Invest-tagged this evening, 92L, and the title has been updated accordingly.
2024-09-08 00:00 12.7 -42.4 25
Ciel