Morning GFS Run goes into Destin as a cat 3 thursday night, so there's not a lot of time if that occurs, ensembles are spread all over the entirety of Florida from weak to strong. So it appears it's likely to be some sort of Florida impact. Weak or strong, it's going to cause impacts. Flooding and surge for sure, how much beyond that is still in question.

0z Euro is east of the 6z run, 0z Canadian is similar to GFS, but both of those are weaker. 0z Icon was clsoer to where 0z Euro was, (Alligator point/south of Tallahassee)

UKMet has a landfall in Cedar Key.