bob3d
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sun Sep 22 2024 10:16 AM
Re: Modeled NW Caribbean CAG/TC

Quote:

It's a crapshoot at this time on ultimate intensity/landfall location. Given the environmental conditions present in the eastern GOMEX, rapid intensification on approach to land is probably a given.



I agree that rapid intensification is likely.

I've seen in the various 9/22/2024 models projecting landfalls anywhere from Destin in the panhandle down to Cedar key. A possible Cat 3 hitting the big bend area of Florida would cause a lot of problems.